Weekly Predictions (11-17-2007)

Well, I went 0-2 in big games last week. Georgia beat Auburn and Clemson dominated an overrated Wake Forest team. But, it is a new week, and it is time I redeem myself. This week I'll be focusing on Kentucky vs Georgia (their second week in a row on the blog) in the SEC and Clemson (their second week on the blog in a row) vs Boston College.

Kentucky vs Georgia



Bulldogs (5-2, 8-2 1st in East)
Georgia is coming off a big 45-20 win against their rivals Auburn. The Bulldogs came out and had a big passing game, but the run was crucial to the victory, as well as a tough UGA defense.
The Georgia offense is now averaging about 33 poi
nts per game on 174 yards on the ground and 209 yards through the air. QB Matthew Stafford has improved his TD-INT ratio, he has gone 17-7, which isn't bad at all. RB Knowshon Moreno is turning into a top runner in the SEC, and I like his enthusiasm and hustle. He has carried the ball 200 times for 1,104 yards and 11 TDs. WR Sean Bailey is the go to threat the Bulldogs lacked last year, and he has hauled in 31 balls for 487 yards and 4 TDs. It is also important to note that the ball gets spread around to not just other wideouts like Muhammed Massaquoi and Mikey Henderson, but also the TE Tripp Chandler, RBs Moreno and Thomas Brown, and FB Brennan Sutherland.
The defense is giving up about 22 points per game, on 127 yards on the ground, and 202 through the air. The D is lead by LB Dannell Ellerbe, DE Marcus Howard, and SS Kelin Johnson.

Wildcats
(3-3, 7-3; 4th in East)
Kentucky is coming off a close 27-20 win over Vanderbilt. Now Kentucky is looking to improve their standings and to impress the bowl executives, which can give a team some motivation to say the least.
The offense is putting up about 38 points per game, on 172 on the ground, and 269 through the air. QB Andre Woodson is completing close to 68% of his passes, a
nd has thrown for 2,653 yards for 29 TDs and just 7 INTs. RB Raphael Little is looking to return, and still leads the team in rushing despite missing games (Little has carried 122 times for 752 yards and 3 TDs). Woodson has 3 big targets, WRs Keenan Burton and Dicky Lyons Jr., and TE Jacob Tamme. The three have combined for 131 catches for 1,462 yards and 16 TDs.
The defense is giving up 28 ppg on 197 yards on the ground and 191 through the air. They are led by LB Wesley Woodyard (102 tackles, 2 sacks), DE Jeremy Jarmon (9 sacks, 48 tackles), and CB Trevard Lindley (2 INTs, 52 tackles).

The Low-Down
Georgia is in a must win situation the rest of the season. Even though they are listed as first place, they need to win out, and hope for a Tennessee loss to make
it to Atlanta for the SEC Title game.
Kentucky is pretty much out of any shot of getting a trip to Atlanta, but they can still improve their bowl standing with a win.

My Prediction

Georgia is coming off a big win, and should have the momentum on their side. They are also fighting to have a shot at playing in Atlanta.
Kentucky I don't think has the defense to stop Moreno, but they do have the offense to stay with it.
The Georgia DBs will have to be ball hawks and make sure they have not only the big three in Burton, Lyons, and Tamme covered, but they need to make sure they have a guy on WR Steven Johnson (40 catches, 754 yards, 9 TDs).

Kentucky will need to play a tough defense, and eliminate the deep threat in Bailey, and, keep an eye out for RB Thomas Brown for Georgia.


Georgia 30
Kentucky 24



Clemson vs Boston College

Tigers (5-2, 8-2; 1st in Atlantic)
Clemson is coming off a big win over divisional foe Wake Forest, moving them into first place, along with the Maryland win over Boston College.
The offense is putting up about 37 points per game on 165 yards rushing and almost 260 yards through the air. QB Cullen Harper is making a statement this season that Willy Korn will not be getting the starting job on what Korn did in high school, to the tune of 214-322-4 for 2,432 yards and 26 TDs. RB James Davis has carried 156 times for 860 yards (5.5 yards per carry) and 8 TDs. WR Aaron Kelly is the go to guy, hauling in 67 balls for 841 yards and 11 TDs. (He is on pace to get 1,000 yards) and WR Tyler Grisham is a good complement, with 45 catches for 517 yards and 4 TDs.
The defense gives up about 18 points per game on 121 rushing yards, and 162 passing yards. The D is lead by LB Nick Watkins (101 tackles, 1 sack), DEs Phillip Merling and Ricky Sapp (95 tackles, 9 sacks combined) and S Michael Hamlin (68 tackles, 4 INTs).

Eagles (4-2, 8-2; 2nd in Atlantic)
BC is coming off a loss against Maryland, and game that if won, could've locked up the division. The offense is putting up 31 ppg on 113 yards rushing and 330 yards passing. QB Matt Ryan, a former Heisman candidate, is still having a strong year. He has thrown for 3,269 yards and 24 TDs going 276-465-13. RB Callender has carried 147 times for 714 yards and 8 TDs. WR Robinson leads all receivers with 48 catches on 700 yards and 5 TDs.
The defense is giving up 20 ppg on 66 yards rushing and 277 passing. The defense is led by FS Jamie Silva (94 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 5 INTs), DE Alex Albright (34 tackles, 7.5 sacks) and CB DeJuan Tribble (33 tackles, 4 INTs).

The Low Down
This is the Atlantic Division Title game. Whoever wins goes to the ACC Title game, to take on either Virginia or Virginia Tech. I think that puts this in perspective.

My Prediction
Boston College has lossed their last 2 games, while Clemson has been on fire recently.
BC needs to contain RB CJ Spiller, who's runs can be momentum changers.
Clemson needs to stop Matt Ryan, plain and simple.
I really see a QB battle developing between Ryan and Harper. Whoever does the best, and commits the least amount of mistakes, I see the best, and safest, QB leading his team to victory.

Clemson 37
Boston College 24

The rest of the week:
Florida over FAU
Miss. St. over Arkansas
Tenn. over Vandy
Bama over UL-M
LSU over Ole Miss.
GT over UNC
FSU over Maryland
Duke over Notre Dame
VT over Miami (FL)
Wake over NC St.

Previous 11 Weeks: 80-31 (72%)
Week 1: 8-3
Week 2: 9-0

Week 3: 6-3
Week 4: 7-1
Week 5: 7-2
Week 6: 7-2

Week 7: 6-3
Week 8: 8-4
Week 9: 7-4

Week 10: 8-4
Week 11: 7-5

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